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Eighth spot wide open

Eighth spot wide open

06/08/2007 11:06 AM

With four rounds remaining, the top seven teams appear set to contest the finals but eighth spot is wide open with six teams battling it out for the last spot in September.

Here is the run home for the finals contenders.

Geelong: 1st: 15-3, 160.4

TO COME: Adelaide (SS), Kangaroos (TD), Port Adelaide (SS), Brisbane (Gabba).

PREDICTION: Has all but secured a top two finish and could seal top spot as early as this week with a win over Adelaide.

Kangaroos: 2nd: 12-6, 105.2

TO COME: West Coast (Dome), Geelong (Dome), Carlton (Dome), Bulldogs (Dome).

PREDICTION: The Roos are vulnerable in second spot with five teams within one game of them with the next two weeks likely to decide their fate. Because of their poor percentage the Roos will need to win at least two of their last four games to secure a top four finish but Carlton in round 21 looks their only certain win.

Hawthorn: 3rd: 11-7, 114.4

TO COME: Brisbane (MCG), Port (Aurora), Bulldogs (Dome), Sydney (SCG).

PREDICTION: The Hawks took a giant stride towards their first finals series since 2001 by thrashing Essendon but still need to win two of their last four to be guaranteed a taste of the September action. Will probably need to win three to finish top four but they have the toughest run home of any side.

Port Adelaide: 4rd: 11-7, 112.6

TO COME: Carlton (AAMI), Hawthorn (Aurora), Geelong (SS), Fremantle (AAMI).

PREDICTION: Should beat Carlton and Freo at home but will need to beat one of Hawthorn or Geelong on the road to stay in the top four.

West Coast: 5th: 11-7, 110.7

TO COME: Kangaroos (Dome), Richmond (S), St Kilda (Dome), Essendon (S).

PREDICTION: The Eagles slipped outside the top four this weekend but should beat Richmond and Essendon at home and will fancy their chances against the Roos and Saints in Melbourne. Likely to finish second if they win all their remaining matches.

Collingwood: 6th, 11-7, 101.3

TO COME: Richmond (MCG), Melbourne (MCG), Sydney (MCG), Adelaide (Dome).

PREDICTION: Should build their poor percentage over the next weeks but will have to beat one of Sydney or Adelaide to finish top four.

Sydney: 7th, 10-8, 119.2

TO COME: St Kilda (Telstra Stadium), Brisbane (Gabba), Collingwood (MCG), Hawthorn (SCG).

PREDICTION: With their great percentage, the Swans could scrape into the top four by winning three of their last four matches but may need to win all four. Will fancy their chances of beating the Saints and Hawks at home but also face two tough away games against the Lions and Magpies.

Brisbane: 8th, 9-8-1, 113.1

TO COME: Hawthorn (MCG), Sydney (Gabba), Adelaide (AAMI), Geelong (Gabba).

PREDICTION: With five successive wins the Lions have surged into the top eight but will need to win three of their last four to stay there. And that looks a tough ask given they not only face runaway leaders Geelong in the final round but also have two tough away games to come to against Hawthorn and Adelaide.

St Kilda: 9th, 9-8-1, 94.8

TO COME: Sydney (Telstra Stadium), Fremantle (Dome), West Coast (Dome), Richmond (MCG).

PREDICTION: Following their draw with the Bulldogs, the Saints poor percentage comes back into play and they will need to win one more game than the Lions (as well as staying ahead of the Dogs on percentage) to make the eight. But the Saints have a better run home

 
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