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Is it time for Hawks fans to worry?

05/04/2009 8:54 PM


Should Hawthorn fans be worried over their team's poor start to its AFL premiership defence?

That is the big question to emerge from the second round of 2009 as the Hawks became only the third reigning premier this decade to lose their first two matches.

While there are genuine reasons behind the Hawks' slow start to the season, primarily injuries to key players, history suggests Alastair Clarkson's team has to get its season back on track soon if it is to re-capture the heights of 2008.

The last reigning premier not to win its opening two rounds but rebound to win back-to-back premierships was Carlton way back in 1982 but at least the Blues of that year managed to draw in the opening round before losing in Round 2 and then finally winning in Round 3.

The only two other reigning premier to have lost their opening two matches in this decade - Sydney in 2006 and North Melbourne in 2000 - also got their seasons back on track by winning in Round 3 before going on to have strong seasons.

The Swans of course failed by just one point to win back-to-back flags in 2006 while the Kangaroos in 2000 were knocked out in the preliminary final that season by Melbourne.

In fact you have to go way back to 1976 to find the last time the reigning premiers (North Melbourne) lost their first three matches of the season and that year the Kangaroos would only win one of their first five games before staging a great fight back to win 14 of their last 17 games and eventually finish runners-up to Hawthorn.

So it's far from panic stations for the Hawks yet although there are some worrying signs.

The absence of Trent Croad, who is a long-term absentee with the serious foot injury sustained in last year's Grand Final, and last year's surprise packet in Stephen Gilham - whose knee injury sustained in the NAB Cup has seen him miss the first two rounds - has left the Hawks seriously short on height down back.

The ruck department also looks brittle with Robert Campbell a late withdrawal from the first two matches due to injury while Simon Taylor's two-match suspension for dropping his knee into Geelong's Joel Selwood in the opening round was unforgiveable and has left the Hawks reliant on youngster Brent Renouf to carry their big man department.

Throw in injuries to Jordan Lewis, Brad Sewell, Travis Tuck, Rick Ladson and Ben McGlynn and the Hawks' midfield suddenly lacks depth while the loss of tough small forward Michael Osborne in the opening round with a serious hamstring injury was another blow.

And Luke Hodge and Chance Bateman both looked sore during the loss to the Swans as even key players that are fit such as skipper Sam Mitchell and the hero of last year's Grand Final in Stuart Dew struggled to get into the game as Sydney overcame a slow start to crush Hawthorn by 38 points.

While the Hawks had almost walked away from their narrow Round 1 loss to a near full-strength Geelong as winners, such was the nature of their fantastic final quarter fight back considering the side they had at their disposal, the loss to the Swans raised questions as to whether the Hawks have totally recovered both mentally and physically from a gruelling 2008 season.

And with gritty Kangaroos to come on Easter Sunday, there is no let-up for the Hawks for whom the return of key players can't come soon enough.

Only when the Hawks have close to their full side available will we be able to make a definitive judgement as to whether they are suffering from the dreaded premiership hangover but a full side of mentally and physically fit players is something often denied reigning premiership teams coming off a gruelling season.

And there is no shortage of early challengers to the Hawks' crown with last year's runners-up Geelong unbeaten after two rounds along with the Bulldogs and St Kilda, who both appear to have improved since last year's losing preliminary final appearances, plus surprise packets Carlton.

On the evidence so far the Hawks' gun players can't return soon enough after their second-string side was exposed by the ageing Swans but even when their stars do return they will be lacking match fitness and Hawthorn might find they are giving sides such as Geelong, St Kilda, the Dogs and Carlton a considerable start before they begin to resemble the team that shocked Geelong by winning the 2008 flag.

 
Comments
Posted by dan at
05/04/2009 08:17 PM
When will people realise....it was no SHOCK that hawthorn won the flag.....the SHOCK was how badly geelong played and kicked....Hawks were better...no one says " WOW richmond beating Hawks last year was a SHOCK"...use youy scones peoples...it's not that hard
Posted by Nick at
06/04/2009 02:27 PM
History will show that Hawthorn won the 2008 flag, but they themselves know that they were not the best team last year and a lot of luck went their way. I don't follow neither Geelong or Hawthron, but I'm not surprised at Hawthorn's start this year. Injuries is not an exucse as every club has them. This year they will just average out.
Posted by craig jessop at
07/04/2009 08:15 PM
I am a hawthorn supporter and last years win was a fluke against Geelong. We are an average side and expectations should be lowered.
Posted by Steve Johnson at
08/04/2009 07:22 PM
I am a geelong supporter and last years loss was not a fluke against Hawthorn. We are an average side and expectations should be lowered.
Posted by Michael at
09/04/2009 01:28 PM
One of the best things about our game is the best team on the day, takes the glory. Who really cares if it was a fluke or not, Hawthorn were the best team on the day last September and took the flag. What is the alternative? Lengthy drawn out finals like American baseball? or top of the table premiership honours like European Football? No thanks!
Posted by kendog at
10/04/2009 01:47 AM
both teams worked extremely hard to get to the GF in the first place. regardless of which is the better side in terms of players on average, hawthorn performed onthe day and they walked away with the flag, simple as that. no point if you worked all the way and crash in the last hurdle. its like entering a final race in swimming and coming 8th, it doesnt matter if you produced world records in the heats, you still lose. more on topic regarding hawthorn this year. geelong didnt play their best in round 1, goalkicking was shocking and hawthorn was missing players, so the actual outcome is debateable but pointless. 2nd round against sydney, hawks with even less 1st choice players (sewell, campbell..etc) so again, the outcome IF they had all their best players is still debateable and pointless. soo...to sum it up i wouldnt be too worried...hawthorn faced tough teams with a 70 percent strength squad. they will rise again im sure.
Posted by Badge at
10/04/2009 10:46 AM
Wow - some harsh judges out there. Geelong and Hawks were the best sides by far last year. Look at the outs for Hawks and try and understand the impact taht would have on any side. Geelong has lost Ottens, take out scarlet and Ablett would they be the same side and would they have won 2/2. Carlton have won 2/2 aginst who - at near full strength, take out thier best 3 and see what happens. Yes the best teams win on the day but only the best teams finish in the top 4. Hawks will hit back hard soon.
Posted by John at
10/04/2009 06:24 PM
I am a Hawthorn supporter. Hawks are GONE!. Although injuries hurt you the more damaging problem is the lack of full pre-season for far too many Hawks. You never really recover from this. We will really struggle for the next 10 weeks - we may come home a little stronger but too late - there will be too much to do. I think the coaching staff already know this so playing the kids in preparation for 2010. Youngest side since records started being kept last week ( and still people surprised we lost).
Posted by DJ at
10/04/2009 06:46 PM
It is amazing how people still give Hawthorn little respect for winning last years Grand Final. The result was simply a fluke..... A few things to consider: 1. According to Mick Malthouse rotations are so important that if you lose a player during a match your unlikely to win. Hawks play two short for a half in Grand Final and still win. 2. Have a look at the free kick count in the Grand Final - Hawks as they were all year savaged. Also take note how many of Geelong's goals come from dodgy free kicks 3. Geelong kicked 11 12 in the Grand Final - yes poor kicking but not atrocious. Hawthorn kicked 18 7. Did anyone realise Hawthorn actually had more scoring shots on goal 4. Apparently Geelong played a shocker - interesting. When you compare how Geelong's best players performed vs Hawthorn's it would appear it's the hawks who had a shocker not Geelong. Ablett - brilliant, Johnson - touched the ball over 30 times, Selwood - solid, Scarlett - murdered Franklin, Bartel - shocker (as he a
Posted by jm at
10/04/2009 08:17 PM
too early to panic for goodness sake it is only rd 3
Posted by Andrew at
11/04/2009 08:03 AM
Not every team has 18 players on its injured and unavailable list!!! Even with that, The Hawks still only fell short by a fraction more than a kick against Geelong. Am I worried? Not yet, it's about getting the team on the field - then we can storm home. And last year's win was no fluke...
Posted by Badge at
11/04/2009 05:51 PM
I think the point about a lack of a full preseason for a lot of hawks is valid - however I would not say gone. The depth that is being created by having to play the younger ones should mean the ability to rotate rest and freshen as required. If the hawks maange it right they should be OK and in very good shape next year if they can hang onto thier list. Brilliant to see Buddy say he wants to be a one team man, loyalty can appear to be a lost moral in these days of money money money....
Posted by Badge at
11/04/2009 10:01 PM
Whoa Hoo!! Carlton WHO? I am going to enjoy the media eating crow this week after the big wraps they have given Carlton all year. As I said above who have they beaten?? How must the media now rate the Bombers? DOn't you just love footy?
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